Wednesday, June 17, 2009

Fourth Quarter: Elevation?

Yes, only two months or so after blogging about the upcoming Viking's schedule, I'm finally getting around to finishing it. Pretty awesome, huh? I apologize for not having a lot to write about on here, but with the whole Favre thing going on I just haven't been in the mood to discuss my Beloved Purple.

However, it's time to stop procrastinating and look at the fourth quarter of the Vikings' 2009 schedule. The Vikings should have some solid momentum going their way at this point, and based on their first 12 games, I think there's a very good chance they could be looking at an 8-4/9-3 kind of mark before we head into the home stretch. If you need to review the previous three articles to remind yourself where we're at then go ahead...I'll wait for ya.....




Caught up? Good.....

The thirteenth game of the 2009 season will have the Vikes playing host to the Cincinnati Bengals. Now, contrary to what a couple of folks I know think, I don't have the feeling that the Bengals will be that great this year. Even with the return of Carson Palmer, their offense is a mess, and Chad Ocho Cinco is liable to go off at any time. It's going to be a little bit rougher for him, as he'll no longer have T.J. Houshmandzadeh lined up on the other side of the formation. Chris Henry may or may not end up in jail again, too. . . really, you never know. I guess what I'm saying is that the Bengals should have trouble scoring against the Minnesota defense, to put it mildly.

The Vikings, on the other hand, should have no such problem. While the Bengals were #12 in the league in total yards allowed in 2008, they were 21st against the run. They were also a blistering 1-7 on the road. There are no easy wins in the National Football League. . . but I would be pretty surprised if Minnesota didn't handle this one with some level of ease. The final three games of the 2009 season, however, should be pretty tough. They're winnable football games, but they definitely won't be easy wins.

It starts out with what (as of now) is projected to be the first of two consecutive prime-time games for the Beloved Purple, as they travel to Bank of America (insert new name here) Stadium to take on the Carolina Panthers. I say projected to be consecutive prime-time games, because this game is on NBC's Sunday Night schedule, which means it could get "flexed" if there's another, more compelling matchup out there. However, if these two teams play the way they're capable of, I wouldn't expect this game to get moved.

Now, we all remember the 2008 game between these two teams, with Antoine Winfield crushing Jake Delhomme and the defense completely dominating the second half as the Vikings won 20-10. The Panthers have one of the best one-two rushing tandems in the NFL in DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart. However, as we all know, this plays right into Minnesota's strength and in last year's matchup the Viking defense limited Williams and Stewart to 42 yards and a touchdown on 17 carries. Adrian Peterson and Chester Taylor fared slightly better against Carolina's defense, combining for 121 yards on 28 carries. Yes, I looked this all up...ha ha.

The outcome of this game could depend on whether we see "good" Jake Delhomme, or whether we see the Jake Delhomme that showed up in the NFC Divisional Playoffs in January that used Arizona Cardinal defenders for target practice. If Jared Allen, Kevin Williams, and company can get after Delhomme the way they did in Minneapolis last year (where they registered five sacks), "bad" Delhomme could be out in full force (along with the boobirds) in Charlotte. This is one of the more interesting games on the schedule, though, and it could really go either way.

The final road game of the year will definitely occur in prime time, as the Vikings will travel to what should be a cold and blustery Soldier Field to take on the Chicago Bears. Last year's game at Soldier Field was a nightmare, with Gus Frerotte throwing four interceptions, Chris Kluwe being awful, and the special teams just being generally terrible. Despite all of that, the Vikings managed to stay within a touchdown of the Bears and put up their highest scoring output of the year in a 48-41 loss. Since I can't imagine the Vikings' special teams being that awful again, and I can't envision that many turnovers, this game could easily go the other way.

This will be the one game the Vikings play all season where weather should have any significant effect. . . and if it's anything like it usually is in Chicago in December, it's going to be a display of power football on both sides, and both defenses should be amped up and ready to go for this one. If that's the case, the easy choice is Adrian Peterson and Chester Taylor over Matt Forte and Kevin Jones, I think.

"But what about Jay Cutler," you might say. The thing is. . . the next time Jay Cutler carries his team in a big situation will be the first time. He was terrible down the stretch in 2008, and has never won a single NFL game that actually meant anything when there was any sort of pressure on him. Since this game could very easily be for the division title, it wouldn't surprise me one single bit to see the diva fall apart again, this time on national TV. I know it's a division game and you can throw the records out and all those other cliches. . . but if you could rest your team's chances of winning on the shoulders of either Adrian Peterson (who has put a team on his back before and carried them when they needed it) or Jay Cutler (who has really done no such thing). . . who are you taking? I know who I'm taking.

The season finale will be the same as the 2008 season finale, as the Vikings will play host to the New York Giants at the Metrodome. Yes, we heard all the crap last year. . . "the Vikings only beat the Giants' backups. The Giants starters would have destroyed the Vikings." Blah blah blah.

The Vikings did enough in their first 15 games to put themselves in a situation where they could have a game against a team that had nothing to play for with a playoff spot on the line. The Bears had a game against a team that had nothing to play for with a playoff spot on the line, too. . . and they would have gotten in, had they beaten the Houston Texans. But, they didn't, so they got to sit at home and watch us in the post-season.

(Oh, and when the Giants pulled their starters, the Vikings were winning the football game. Minor thing, but I thought it should be mentioned.)

There's a good chance that one or both teams will be resting players for this one if there's nothing on the line. I can hope that the Vikings are in a situation to rest players, unless there's a first-round bye to be had or something like that. So, I'm not going to project this one too much, since we don't really know who's going to be on the field for either team at this point.

And that's the final look at the 2009 schedule, ladies and gentlemen! Despite what many of the "experts" are thinking at this point, I don't see any reason that this team can't be in the 10-6/11-5 range and celebrating their second consecutive NFC North division crown on or before January 3rd, 2010.

Thursday, June 11, 2009

My Pick to win Game Seven...

Okay, so who’s the genius who slipped a note to the Red Wings saying that Game Six of the Stanley Cup Finals didn’t start until 10:20, instead of 8:20? Nicely done, whoever you are. In what should have been potentially the biggest night of their season, the Red Wings came out flat as a pancake for Game Six of the Stanley Cup Finals in Pittsburgh Tuesday night.

How does a team as experienced, skilled, and focused as the Red Wings usually are come out and lay a big, fat egg onto the Mellon Arena ice surface for the first 40 minutes is beyond me. Then again, this entire series has been beyond me.

First, we had the "back-to-back" to kick things off: Games One and Two played on Saturday and Sunday in Detroit. This was supposed to be damaging to the older Red Wings, who were only a couple days removed from taking my beloved Chicago Blackhawks from the conference finals.

The Red Wings won both games.

Then we had Games Three and Four in Pittsburgh, and the Penguins were supposed to be deflated and discouraged by their oh-fer in Detroit, despite playing some pretty damn good hockey at times.

The Penguins won both games.

So, naturally, the old, tired Red Wings were in trouble heading into Game Five. They looked staggered; the champs were on the ropes. Maybe one or two more punches could finish them off.

Of course, the Red Wings destroyed the Penguins, 5-0.

The stage was set for Game Six. Morons such as yours truly said that these stages were made for the Red Wings. With the Stanley Cup in the building, I said there’s all the urgency in the world, right there. You didn’t even have to manufacture it. Plus, there would be the extra benefit for the Red Wings of an additional day off after Game Five.

Of course the Penguins went out and made the Red Wings look like that old, tired bunch from Games Three and Four.

Do I dare make a guess about Game Seven? This series, so far, has been like six different plays of NHL '09 on your PlayStation 2. None of the games have anything to do with the other. It’s a Finals series that only a Las Vegas bookie can love. There really are only two sure things I know of after watching this series: death and taxes.

Take Pens goalie Marc-Andre Fleury, for example. The kid looks like a bad seed after some weird goals in Games One and Two. Then he bounces back in Games Three and Four. Then he’s so awful in Game Five that he gets the hook. So Fleury is the game’s No. 1 star in Game Six, even stopping Dan Cleary on a heart-thumping breakaway with about 90 seconds to play.

Want another series myth to bust? How about the one that says the Penguins can’t win if Evgeni Malkin and Sidney Crosby aren’t playing in stellar form? The Pens got goals from Jordan Staal and Tyler Kennedy in Game Six, and Malkin and Crosby were borderline milk carton material for long stretches. There was a Malkin sighting in the third period.... when he was whistled for a penalty.

The Red Wings, meanwhile, played the first two periods as if they expected the Stanley Cup to be awarded to them after the game no matter what. The Red Wings should have had the sense of urgency of a toddler crossing his legs while his mother dragged him through J.C. Penney’s in search of the nearest bathroom. Instead, the Red Wings played, maybe, their worst game of the entire playoffs. And I’m talking anything you got, from Columbus to Anaheim to Chicago. I’ll even throw in Games Three and Four of the Finals, and I’ll still beat it with the Red Wings’ performance through the first 40 minutes of Game Six. They were awful.

If it wasn’t for Osgood, the Penguins would have matched the Red Wings’ five-goal win of Game Five, and maybe even have beaten it. Detroit had three shots on goal in the first period. Three. About one every seven minutes. Unless you plan on Fleury having a save percentage of about .566 for the game, that’s not going to cut it.

I’m done with trying to figure these Finals out. I predicted Pittsburgh in six before this goofball of a series began. After all I’ve been wrong about since they dropped the puck to start Game One and I’m not the Lone Ranger in that regard.

So it’s winner-take-all. There’s no tomorrow. All the chips are on the table. One-and-done. Women and children first. Buckle up, it’s gonna be a rough ride.

Okay okay... my pick for Game Seven? Well, considering every game in this series has been won by the home team the answer to that question is extremely simple:

Penguins: 3 Red Wings: 2